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Research agenda

Questions we're exploring

We start with questions, not conclusions. When society says "everyone knows," we ask: How do we know? This page tracks the investigations underway and the publications that answer them.

Our habit

Examining assumptions. Following evidence.

We do not prove popular beliefs or turn questions into certainty. We investigate widely held assumptions and publish what the data suggest: findings backed by evidence and stated limits, not verdicts.

From popular belief to research question

Headlines and dinner-table opinions rarely survive careful analysis. We turn assumptions into research questions, then examine what the evidence suggests about earnings, debt, completion, region, and time horizon.

Popular belief

"Trades are better than college."

We ask

  • Which trades?
  • Compared to which majors?
  • Over what time period?
  • In which regions?

Popular belief

"Degrees no longer matter."

We ask

  • Which degrees?
  • For which occupations?
  • Compared to what alternatives?

Popular belief

"AI will eliminate jobs."

We ask

  • Which jobs?
  • Which skills remain valuable?
  • What does the evidence suggest?

Active questions

Status updates as briefs, dives, and reports publish. Vote on the ballot or suggest a question.

Published · Utah Opportunity Chain

Exploring · National agenda

  • Exploring

    Are certificates replacing degrees? For whom, and where?

  • Exploring

    Which credentials produce the strongest wage growth?

  • Exploring

    How is AI affecting entry-level careers?

  • Exploring

    Do apprenticeships outperform college in certain industries?

  • Exploring

    Which skills appear most resilient to automation?

  • Exploring

    How do outcomes differ across regions and state bureaus?

Not our job

People will try to place us in a camp: pro-college, anti-college, pro-trades, pro-business, pro-labor. Our job is simpler:

Ask good questions, analyze the evidence, and publish the findings.

See also our editorial policy and methodology.